Key show releases being pushed into Q2 is the likely cause of the subscriber miss, as new seasons of top shows historically have had larger impacts on net adds than new shows. With the valuation becoming fuller (NFLX is up ~19% vs. S&P up ~5% YTD), the trend in rising long-term profitability is important given the upfront cash spend on content. We realize it will likely take a substantial sub beat to move the stock in the short-term, but the release slate in Q2 and Netflix’ssuccess with originals give us reason enough to remain buyers of the stock.” Cantor Fitzgerald (Overweight, price target raised to $165 from $160) “We’re maintaining our Overweight rating on Netflix and raising our PT to $165 from $160, reflecting a stronger-than-expected 2Q subscriber outlook (+750K), partially offset by a slight miss in 1Q net adds (-230K) and virtually in-line financial results. Although quarterly net adds can be quite volatile, record 4Q net adds and the strong 2Q guide show healthy subscriber trends over longer periods, and a heavy slate of recurring originals should sustain growth for the rest of the year. We maintain our positive stance on the stock given 1) substantial long-term growth potential, particularly in international markets; 2) a strong secular tailwind as linear TV shifts to internet TV viewing; 3) the company’s leadership position with $6B+ of P&L content spend; and 4) the recent inflection/path to gradually higher operating/EBITDA margins.” Wedbush Securities, Michael Pachter (Underperform, price target raised to $73 from $68) “We continue to believe that Netflix cash burn is the driver of valuation, although largely overlooked by investors. While we have been consistently wrong about this stock, we have consistently valued stocks under coverage based upon the discounted present value of their future cash flows. As the cost of content continues to be bid up, we expect Netflix to continue to burn cash to fund content acquisition, and the company acknowledged that this will persist for “many years”. . .
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“His parents threw him out, he slammed the door. There is a life experience here, there is something a bit hard,” Mongin added. Macron has an impressive curriculum vitae. He studied philosophy, was awarded for his skills as a pianist, attended France’s elite Ecole Nationale d’Administration for graduate school and worked at Rothschild as a successful investment banker. French people discovered Macron when he was nominated economy minister in August 2014, after two years as a top adviser to Socialist President Francois Hollande. As a minister, he rapidly became a love-it-or-hate-it topic during family meals around the country. A package of economic measures to allow more stores to open Sundays and open up regulated sectors of the economy, known as the Macron law, drove tens of thousands of people to the streets for months of protests across France. Outspoken, he fierily advocated for pro-free market policies even as many colleagues from the governing Socialists accused him of destroying worker protections. Yet he comes from a town with working-class roots Amiens in northern France, where he was born, grew up, and met Brigitte. Observers suggested Macron played a double game when he quit the Socialist government last year without telling Hollande his true ambitions. He launched his presidential bid in November before the unpopular president had announced whether he would seek re-election.
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